Rates
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The casualty segment posted $18mn of favorable reserve development across multiple accident years.
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Property rate increases decelerated to 3% in the quarter.
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A litany of underwriting and quoting constraints has made it much harder to write business.
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For workers’ comp, premium renewal rates were down -0.88% compared to -0.64% for Q4.
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Compared to March, more sources shared accounts of rate declines and oversubscription.
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Ten states joined in the original suit.
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Social inflation is driving “cat-type” losses, with an increase in $50mn-plus verdicts.
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Retentions and coverage could be affected by future adverse claims trends.
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Given ample capacity and no sharp increase in demand, a market sea change is not expected, barring an unforeseen economic event.
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WTW said adverse development “is evident” in auto liability lines from 2015 to present.
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Premium inflation holds, as loss-cost inflation trends continue to moderate.
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This continues a consecutive quarterly gain of over 6%.
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Personal lines rate filings are rising, even as some inflation drivers slow.
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Commercial property rates for February rose 10.77%, up from 10.30% in January.
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Premiums rose an average of 7% across all lines, down from Q3.
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Carriers expressed confidence on the line’s ability to withstand medical inflation.
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Otis could be a $2bn-$3bn loss, but more information is expected before June renewals.
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CSAA writes over 70% of its business in the Golden State.
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This follows a record-breaking $63bn of premium and 24.1% growth for 2022.
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The carrier expects to "get smaller in New Jersey" due to lack of rate adequacy.
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The broker said softening was emerging in some lines, but cat risks remain challenging.
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The index’s 2023 peak was Q2, when rates increased 19%.
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The growth positives of last year are showing signs of fading.
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Falling rates in finpro and increased competition in property drove the trend.
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